This alert expired on 13 July 2026 at 21:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 53 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 36 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 13 at 4:38PM EDT until July 13 at 5:15PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
An estimated 1,304,540 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- March 15, 2026 · score 52 · 5.5 km
- June 24, 2026 · score 52 · 10.0 km
- July 14, 2026 · score 52 · 10.6 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 28.3955, -81.1668 |
| Nearest City | Alafaya (19 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.3M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-13T20:38:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c1789dd67ff6c0d9a6efa44f917f5288 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Orange, FL; Osceola, FL |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 13 at 4:38PM EDT until July 13 at 5:15PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL |
| Expires | 2026-07-13T17:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Melbourne FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c1789dd67ff6c0d9a6efa44f917f52888b2e8486.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2d7fd3cde648998d0f2e179e3590906c68625e7b.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Alafaya (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.